Theory of Change

A Theory of Change is a ‘backcasting’ exercise in which an organisation first defines its ultimate goal, and then works backwards from there, identifying the steps that seem necessary to achieve it. (The idea is not that the organisation would try to achieve all these steps by itself. Rather, it is to figure out how it can help contribute to achieving them.)

Our 2024 edition is the fifth iteration and, like those of the previous two years, it incorporates economist Kate Raworth’s Economic Doughnut. The outer edge of the Doughnut represents planetary boundaries which we should not breach, while the inner edge represents the social foundation, including good healthcare, shelter, community and other social and physical needs. (While we were inspired by the Doughnut model, please note that any errors or misinterpretations are our own.)

If you hover your mouse over the leaves on the vines that are supporting the Doughnut, and over the square icons in the lower section, you’ll see information about initiatives that we believe are important to accomplish a Doughnut Economy. You can also click on them for more details.

You can zoom in and out using the buttons on the lower right, and you can toggle between an outline version and a more detailed version of the Theory of Change by using the button on the upper right.

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