Hydrogen produced from biomass or wind-generated electricity promises to
take over the role currently played by oil products in powering the world's
transport fleets. Most motor manufacturers are testing hydrogen-powered
vehicles and have plans to put them on sale.
A sustainable energy system can only be based
on renewable energy. There is no choice in the
matter. It is not a question whether we like it or
not or whether we feel that our energy needs
can be adequately met by renewables. To be
sustainable, we have no option but to develop
systems that enable us to keep our energy needs
low enough so that they can be met by renewable
supplies.
This is the context within which this paper discusses
building a hydrogen economy. Hydrogen
produced from finite energy resources would
not solve anything satisfactorily. It has to be
part of an integrated sustainable energy strategy.
Here are some of the reasons for using hydrogen
as part of an integrated energy strategy:
Hydrogen cannot solve the energy problem, but
it can help to switch the transport sector
smoothly from fossil fuels to renewable ones. In
addition, hydrogen can create links between
different energy carriers, e.g. between electricity,
transport fuel and gas, thus linking heat energy
supply with fuel supply and with electricity
production.
Hydrogen emits almost no pollution when it
burns so its environmental benefits are determined
by the way it is produced. World production
is already equivalent to 20-25% of annual
natural gas production The following methods
are generally used:
1. As a chemical by product - Hydrogen is an
unavoidable by-product during the production
of chlorine, acetylene, styrene or cyanide. It is
also produced in petrochemical cracking
processes such as the catalytic reforming and
cracking of crude oil during upgrading or ethylene
production. However, the purity of the
hydrogen produced in these ways varies from
more than 99.5 percent (chlorine synthesis) to
below 60 percent (ethylene production). Even
the city gas produced in the last century from
coal contained about 50 percent hydrogen.
Most of this hydrogen is mixed with natural gas
and burned close to where it was made to produce
process heat. However, during the introduction
of hydrogen-fuelled transport, it could
become available at reasonable cost to supply
the first fuelling stations.
2. From fossil fuels - Almost half of today's
hydrogen demand is supplied by steam reforming
natural gas or, in minor quantities, by the
partial oxidation of oil products. Most of this
production takes place close to the site on
which the gas will be used in order to avoid
having to transport it. Steam reforming is usually
the cheapest way to produce hydrogen and
nearly all the gas used for desulphurisation at
refineries, for ammonia production for fertilisers,
or for methanol synthesis is produced this
way. About 30 percent of the energy content of
the natural gas input is lost in the conversion.
3. With electricity - Another well-established
method of hydrogen production is electrolysis -
splitting water into oxygen and hydrogen gas.
This is the method of choice where cheap electricity
is available. Norway has used this
method in its fertiliser plants for almost 80
years. Electrolysers are highly modular and can
range from very small units producing a few
cubic metres of hydrogen per hour - or several
kW electric power demand - up to the multi
megawatt level. Today's modern electrolysers
are optimised to produce hydrogen at a pressure
of 30 bar and are designed to cope with a fluctuating
electrical power input.
The attraction of electrolytic hydrogen is that its
production can be on a small scale, is simple
technically, quiet and pollution-free, and gives
wide freedom of choice for the primary energy
input. It enables hydrogen to be produced close
to or apart from the site of the electricity production,
from fossil fuels as well as from
renewable sources. This feature is ideal for a
smooth and steady transition from fossil- to
renewables-generated hydrogen.
The various methods of producing hydrogen
have very different economic and ecological
characteristics. For example, electrolytically produced
hydrogen from coal-fired power
plants would result in CO2 emissions of about 2
kg/kWh or 6 kg/m3. For comparison, gasoline
emits about 0.27 kg/kWh during combustion.
On the other hand, hydrogen from wind or solar
electricity would be almost free of polluting
emissions.
Although electrolysis using electricity from
intermittent renewable sources involves higher
amortisation costs because the plant involved is
not able to produce constantly throughout the
year, it can still provide cheap hydrogen. For
instance hydrogen from large scale hydropower
can cost between 2.5 - 5 cents/kWh or 7.5-15
cents/cubic metre. For comparison, consumers
in Europe pay about 10 cents per kWh of gasoline,
or 1 Euro per litre, including tax.
Production using power from large offshore
wind farms would cost about 10-15 cents/kWh
or 30 - 45 cts/m3. This is roughly in the same
range as hydrogen produced from geothermal
electricity, assuming that modern low temperature
geothermal power generation (hot dry rock,
organic rankine cycle) results in electricity cost
of below 10 cents/kWhel. The higher electricity
production costs are outweighed by the advantage
of 8,000 operating hours per year for the
electrolyser, instead of about 2,000-3,000 hours
per year for wind energy converters.
It takes, on average, about 4 kWh of electricity
to produce 1 cublic metre or 3 kWh hydrogen as
20 -25 percent of the energy is lost in the conversion
process. Accordingly, the first use of
renewable electricity should not be for electrolysis
but to replace fossil fuels (predominantly
coal) in stationary applications. The electrolytic
production of hydrogen could, however, be considered
in circumstances like these:
4. From biomass - Using hydrogen from biomass
gasification in a fuel cell is a more efficient
way of producing electricity than burning
the biomass in a thermal generator, even on a
small scale. Several options are open. If ten percent
of the land in a district is converted to fuel
production, biomass harvesting within a radius
of 25 km would feed a 5 MW gasification plant.
The crude biogas (CO, H2) could then be fed
into a high temperature molten carbonate fuel
cell which produces both electricity and heat at
about 4500C in sufficient quantities to supply
about 3000 houses with heat and electricity.
There would also be enough hydrogen to fuel
17 buses with a daily range of about 300 km.
This system has yet to prove itself in practice
but all its components are known and technically
feasible, though not yet optimised for this
use. A prototype would cost close to €10 million
to build and then €2 million per year to run.
This would cover everything from planting the
biomass, the gasification and purification plant,
the fuel cell, hydrogen compression and building
a transport fuelling station. After a few
years' experience, it ought to be possible to
reduce the construction and operating costs by
about 30 percent. The plant would deliver about
4 million kWh of electricity per year and 16
million cubic metres of hydrogen plus 4 million
kWh of heat. If the electricity was sold at 10
cts/kWhel and the hydrogen fuel at &8264;1 per litre
gasoline equivalent, the annual return would
total about €5 million. Biomass gasification
offers hydrogen conversion efficiencies somewhat
lower than from natural gas reforming, of
the order of 60 - 65 percent.
5.By other methods - Other production methods
like the direct generation of hydrogen by
algae or bacteria are already carried out on laboratory
scale. We can therefore move towards a
hydrogen economy immediately, confident that
the future will offer a broader range of hydrogen
sources than we know at present.
In principle, hydrogen could be used in mobile
applications today but storage improvements
are desirable to increase its acceptability for
powering vehicles. Two storage methods, liquefaction
and compression, have been used in
industry for many years. Both have advantages
and drawbacks. Liquid hydrogen offers higher
energy densities - 2.36 kWh per litre - for long
distance transport and for on board storage in
automobiles. This is approximately one quarter
of the energy density of gasoline fuel. One litre
of hydrogen weighs about 70g whereas its energy
equivalent, a quarter litre of gasoline,
weighs about 200g. However, in order to liquefy
hydrogen, the gas must be cooled to - 250 0C.
This process consumes about 14 kWh primary
energy per kg of hydrogen in today's liquefaction
plants with throughput of 4.4 tons per day.
This is about 40 percent of the hydrogen's energy
content. Theoretically this figure could be
improved by a factor of three in energetically
optimised liquefaction plants.
Another serious drawback is that liquid hydrogen
boils off when the vehicle is parked.
Modern insulation materials limit boil-off losses
to approximately 1 percent per parking day.
Properly designed tanks are filled with liquid
hydrogen leaving a gas cap where the boiled-off
hydrogen can accumulate. The hydrogen
demand during driving is first met from this
cap. During parking, the boil-off is vented to
the atmosphere only when a certain pressure in
the gas cap is reached (usually above 5-6 bar).
In a state-of-the-art design this would happen
only when the vehicle had not been used for 4-
5 days.
Compressing hydrogen
To avoid the boil-off problem, hydrogen can
also be stored at normal temperatures in cylindrical
fibre or metal tanks under high pressure.
Such tanks are still in the process of optimisation
with respect to pressure resistance, durability,
conformity and weight. Typical storage
pressures are in the 200 - 350 bar range but
recently storage systems up to 700 bar have
become available. Since the energy consumed
by compression scales logarithmically, less is
used the higher the input pressure becomes. So
compression from 5 bar to 350 bar consumes
about 9 percent of the energy in the hydrogen
while compression to 700 bar consumes only
slightly more (~10 percent). If the initial pressure
is 30 bar instead of 5 bar, the energy consumption
will almost halve. High pressure
hydrogen production technology therefore
offers advantages which might outweigh its
greater cost.
Other methods
Metal hydrides are another established storage
method. Certain metal alloys absorb large
amounts of hydrogen when exposed to the gas
at certain pressures and low temperatures. Since
this process is exothermic, heat is released during
absorption. The hydrogen is released from
the hydride by heating it. Though metal
hydrides can store almost as much hydrogen as
the equivalent volume of liquid hydrogen, they
are so heavy that the weight of the gas is only 1
- 1.5 percent of the weight of the storage device
in working systems.
Recently there has been a lot of research into
new storage materials with superior qualities.
For instance, highly porous activated carbon
can adsorb hydrogen at cryogenic temperatures
in quantities far above metal hydrides. In the
best cases, it comes close to the densities of
compressed hydrogen storage. Although none
of the novel materials can yet replace the conventional
technologies it is very likely that in
the mid-term future some will achieve comparable
qualities to today's methods. However,
for first (and presumably even second) generation
vehicles, either compressed or liquid
hydrogen storage will have to be used.
Safety aspects
Special safety precautions must be taken with
hydrogen. It mixes three times faster with air
than natural gas and can be ignited when the air
contains more than 4-5 percent of it. Moreover,
ten times less energy is needed to ignite hydrogen
than natural gas. However, it is more likely
than natural gas to burn rather than explode as
its detonation limit - the air-gas mixture which
tends to explode rather than to burn - is at about
11 - 18 percent, whereas for natural gas - air
mixtures it is 5 - 6 percent, only slightly above
the natural gas ignition limit. This means that
any ignitable agglomeration of hydrogen is
likely to burn whereas natural gas is more likely
to explode.
The famous accident to the "Hindenburg" zeppelin
in 1935 at Lakehurst, New Jersey, was
caused by the spark ignition of the aluminium
paint covering the outer fabric of the zeppelin's
hull - a danger known to the experts at that time.
Once ignited, the hydrogen burned but did not
explode. Moreover, due to three further characteristics
of hydrogen, two thirds of the passengers
on board survived that catastrophe.
Hydrogen is very light. This caused it to rise
rather than spread out and fill the passenger
cabin below the hull. Secondly, because hydrogen
is the simplest molecule that exists, composed
of two identical atoms, it cannot radiate
heat. For physical reasons, this is only possible
for more complex molecules. Thirdly, hydrogen
combustion does not produce smoke in the way
that burning oil does. Consequently, although
the fire was not far above the heads of the zeppelin's
passengers, they were not hurt by the
heat or smoke. All the passengers who ran away
in the short time between the zeppelin touching
the ground and the break-up of the burning hull
above the passenger cabin survived.
If cars or aircraft were fuelled with hydrogen
today rather than gasoline or kerosene, accidents
involving burning fuel would cause fewer
severe injuries. Overall, experts agree that
hydrogen poses no more risks than natural gas
and that it might be safer than liquid fuels. Even
so, safety measures including sensors and ceiling
ventilation are needed to avoid an ignitable
hydrogen-air mixture developing in closed
rooms.
Because of its low weight, hydrogen was used
for rockets from the beginning of space
research. It even has some advantages for
fuelling ordinary aircraft, permitting them to
carry about 20 - 25 percent more payload. This
could - at least partly - outweigh its higher cost.
It also is, as we have noted, safer than kerosene,
and, if produced from renewables, would cut
the aircraft's carbon dioxide emissions.
However, it has to be stressed that its use would
increase water vapour emissions which are
mainly responsible for contrail formation and
infrared reflection. The height of flights is crucial
to this phenomenon. As long as an aircraft
flies in the troposphere and avoids the
tropopause some 8 - 12 km up depending on
geographic and climatic conditions, its environmental
impact would be much less harmful than
with today's kerosene-fuelled aircraft.
Another broad application, if not hydrogen's
most important one, will be as fuel for cars and
trucks. Although their emissions will be pure
water vapour, they will raise local humidity
only by several parts per thousand above the
normal level. But, provided the hydrogen is produced
from renewable energy, no carbon dioxide,
hydrocarbon and particulate emissions will
be produced. Even nitrogen oxide emissions
can be reduced to close to zero if better internal
combustion engines are developed while electric
drive systems powered by fuel cells will
completely cut out all harmful emissions.
For railways, the extra space required for
hydrogen fuel is not a critical parameter and
electric drive systems based on fuel cells would
remove the need for an overhead power supply.
Even ships can be fuelled with hydrogen and
some small ones have already been converted in
ecologically sensitive areas. The space taken for
fuel storage is not a problem here either. In
short, any oil-fuelled vehicle can be converted
to use hydrogen.
Although in principle hydrogen can satisfactorily
replace fossil fuels in almost every stationary
application, very often other non-fossil
alternatives are superior. For instance, heat is
better generated from solar energy or biomass
burning rather than hydrogen combustion. And
electricity generation by wind or photovoltaics
is much more efficient than producing hydrogen,
perhaps by electrolysis, and then burning it
in an internal combustion engine with an
attached generator, or in a fuel cell, to produce
electricity again.
For a long time many people thought that the
practical use of hydrogen would only become
important when a huge storage system for electricity
was needed, perhaps around the year
2050. Apart from this, only niche applications
for hydrogen were seen, mainly in stand-alone
power systems. For instance, a house or a small
village without a grid connection might need to
store solar energy from periods with high solar
irradiation for use at other times. Storing the
power as electricity would need enormous
amounts of costly and resource-intensive batteries.
In this case, however, the conversion of
electricity to hydrogen and its conversion back
to electricity during peak power demand has
some rationale but a stronger justification
comes from the versatility it introduces as the
stored hydrogen can not only be used for reelectrification,
but also as fuel for cars or for
producing heat. It is this link between various
uses that, in a fully integrated systems view,
makes the hydrogen route superior to alternatives,
particularly now that the fuel cell is coming
into use.
A fuel cell consists of two electrodes (highly
porous carbon or another electrically conductive
porous material) separated by an electrolyte.
Hydrogen gas is fed to one electrode.
The hydrogen molecule is decomposed into its
constituents on the surface of this electrode, the
electrons are stripped off and the two nuclei are
separated. The electrolyte is permeable for protons
(which are the positive nuclei of hydrogen
atoms), but not for electrons. The protons pene
trate through the electrolyte to the other electrode.
There they can combine with the electrons
and air (or pure oxygen) to form water
vapour. Since water vapour has much less
energy content than separated hydrogen and
oxygen molecules, this process runs by itself.
The electrons cannot penetrate through the
electrolyte so they have to pass through an electric
wire which is connected to the application.
The flow of electrons creates the electrical current
used by the consumer.
Various electrolytes have been used, some of
which allow not only protons but also more
complex molecules to penetrate the membrane.
The electrolyte determines the specific name of
a fuel cell, but the principle always is similar.
This main types are the alkaline fuel cell
(AFC), the proton exchange membrane fuel cell
(PEM), the phosphoric acid fuel cell (PAFC),
the molten carbonate fuel cell (MCFC) and the
solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC).
Each of these fuel cell types has a different
operating regime and application ranges. For
instance, SOFC have the highest operating temperatures
of about 10000C. MCFC have an
operating temperature of about 6000C. and can
consume carbon-rich gases like biogas directly
without complicated gas purification processes
being carried out first. PEM fuel cells operate at
the lowest temperatures but require gas purification
first. Moreover, at these low temperatures,
the mobility of ions and the pace of the
chemical reaction are very slow. The stripping
of the electrons at the inner electrode surface
needs to be initiated by expensive catalytic
materials, predominantly platinum-based metals.
A single fuel cell is composed of the two electrodes
at each side of the electrolyte. Many
individual cells can be stacked beside each
other to form a fuel cell stack. The number of
cells within a stack determines the power output.
Once the optimal configuration of a single cell
is found, it is very simple to make many more.
Fuel cell production is therefore ideally suited
to mass production. This should reduce costs
greatly. The first fuel cells used large amounts
of platinum, making the price too high for commercial
use, but successive improvements have
helped to reduce the material requirements so
much that it seems likely that mass produced
optimised fuel cells could become relatively
cheap and simple to produce.
Greater Efficiency
Fuel cell drive systems for vehicles should be
much more efficient than internal combustion
engines. An internal combustion engine is
restricted by the laws of thermodynamics to a
conversion efficiency determined by the temperatures
involved in the combustion process.
Consequently, on average, electricity production
from heat power stations has only about 33
percent efficiency. Moreover, for cars, the efficiency
is also determined by the driving situation,
and this is governed by the velocity. At
very low speeds - technically speaking, at partial
load and low angular momentum - much
energy is needed for acceleration. Since during
typical driving many stops and acceleration
processes are involved, the average efficiency
of today's cars is very low, somewhere close to
20 percent.
Fuel cells work completely differently as
sketched in Figure 2E4.
Firstly, they use an
electrochemical process, which obeys different
thermodynamical limitations so that, theoretically,
a conversion efficiency above 90 percent
can be reached. Secondly, although their efficiency
depends on the load, it is higher rather
than lower the less power is required with
respect to the maximum available power. In
other words, fuel cells are better than the internal
combustion engine for accelerating from
low speeds. Moreover, the electric drive system
has highest efficiencies at low velocities. This
helps to double the overall efficiency of a typical
driving cycle. Cycle efficiencies close to 40
percent are already being measured in today's
hydrogen cars. With technological progress,
fuel cell drive systems ought to become smaller
and cheaper. This would allow them to be oversized
which, in turn, would increase their energetic
efficiency even further.
There is therefore considerable hope that fuel
cells will completely replace today's combustion
engines in almost all applications in the not
too distant future. Bearing in mind the technological
revolutions in other fields - such as those
from transistors to microelectronics and from
mainframes to small personal computers and
from wired telephones to wireless small cellular
phones - it can be anticipated that a fuel cell
revolution could oust the old technology in one
or two decades once commercialisation takes
off although we are in the very early days at
present.
While the fuel cell is the key technological
component for using hydrogen in the transport
sector and perhaps for some stationary applications
as well, there are other conversion technologies
which fit well into hydrogen-use
strategies such as gas turbines either for fastresponse
electricity generation and, maybe
much more importantly, for powering aircraft.
Figure 2E5 shows the potential for fuel production
from biomass sources in the EU. 1. WHY HYDROGEN?
2 COMPONENTS OF A HYDROGEN
ECONOMY
2.1 METHODS OF PRODUCTION
Figure 2E1: Sketch of a biomass gasification plant supplying heat, electricity and transport fuel
from agricultural sources such as wood or dedicated crops. 2.2 STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION
2.3 MOBILE APPLICATIONS
This chart summarises the broad range of published and estimated possible installations of renewable
energy technologies in Europe. The biomass potential is restricted to agricultural, forestry and
municipal waste (sludge, wood etc.). The hydropower potential includes tidal power. By far the
broadest range of estimates exists for wind energy. The lower figure is based on an estimate by
Michael Grubb of the Royal Institute of International Affairs and includes offshore wind produced
at sites within 10 km off the coastline and not deeper than 10 m. The upper potential extends these
ranges to 30 km distance off the coastline and 30 m water depth. Here it should be noted that
already at least one 1GW wind park is being planned at a distance of about 60 km from the German
coastline.
The assessment of the photovoltaic (PV) potential varies widely depending on differing assumptions.
The lower figure is derived assuming only roof mounted PV installations. The upper figure
also includes PV installations on the facade of buildings. This estimate is based on an in-depth
analysis for eight cities in the UK and an extrapolation to the whole EU by taking into account different
solar irradiation as well as different building characteristics in the other regions. Two estimates
are based on these figures. The first assumes that today's conversion efficiencies of about 10
per cent continue, the second that efficiency can be raised to about 13 per cent.
The bar marked SOT represents the potential for building solar-thermal electric power plants in
southern Europe. The chart ignores the potential for geothermal electricity production entirely.2.4 THE FUEL CELL - A KEY PART OF
THE HYDROGEN ECONOMY
3. HYDROGEN AND THE TRANSPORT
SECTOR
General
To introduce renewable energy into the transport
sector various alternatives are possible.
These are
The total EU transport fuel consumption is about 3,500 TWh of which about 80 percent is for road transport. By far the smallest potential exists for biogas production or for plant oil since only special plants or certain parts of the plants can be used for these fuels. Synfuel, methanol or hydrogen production would make much larger amounts available since nearly all kinds of biomass can be converted to fuels in these processes. But even these quantities would be far from sufficient to fuel the whole transport sector if it is to continue at anything like its present size. As a result, the use of hydrogen from renewable sources is likely to be very important.
As the potential for renewable electricity production
is higher than the total EU electricity
consumption today, it might be anticipated that
a certain share can be used for hydrogen production.
Figure 2E6 shows the hydrogen production
potential from renewable electricity
generation based on the data in Figure 2E2.
Obviously, not all this electricity would be used for hydrogen production but together with the hydrogen which can be produced from biomass and in the long term from other sources, and allowing for the improved energy efficiency of future fuel cell cars, hydrogen is the only renewable energy option which offers the possibility of supplying the whole transport sector. It could be supplemented by the direct use of electricity in vehicles but this option is only a hope at present since all technological developments so far do not indicate that battery technology will become feasible for ordinary cars.
Comparing the most promising fuel paths from well to wheel it becomes obvious that no renewable fuel will be cost competitive with today's diesel or gasoline when compared at a pure cost basis neglecting taxes. Hydrogen will be 4 - 5 times more expensive. On the other hand fuel cell vehicles will be about twice as efficient as today's vehicles thus reducing the fuel consumption by a factor of two. Renewable fuel pathways will also be much less carbon intensive than diesel and gasoline and would reduce the overall carbon emissions considerably.
Environmental aspects
As already pointed out, the environmental and
economic aspects of hydrogen strongly depend
on the whole fuel chain. Figure 2E7 and Figure
2E8 summarise the carbon dioxide emissions
and cost per kWh of hydrogen produced from
various sources and compare them with today's
gasoline and diesel supply. These calculations
include all economic costs, but exclude external
(ie environmental) costs not included in standard
economic calculations.
A road map to hydrogen infrastructure
Car makers are putting a lot of effort into planning the introduction of hydrogen as a fuel for ground transport. Fuelling stations will look very similar to those today and supply either liquid or compressed hydrogen. The hydrogen could be produced centrally, liquefied and delivered to fuelling stations by truck, just like gasoline. Or gaseous hydrogen could be delivered via pipeline just as natural gas is distributed. However, as hydrogen production technologies are highly modular from small to large scale, it would be possible to produce the hydrogen by electrolysis on site using grid electricity or perhaps green electricity from wind power stations or other sources. In the country, hydrogen from biomass might be the technology of choice. This variety of options allows different players to operate fuelling stations. The large industrial integrated company could operate in the way it does today but there should also be scope for small independent fuel producers with limited capital.
Research into hydrogen powered cars started in the late 1970s. BMW started then and now has cars with internal combustion engines and liquid hydrogen storage awaiting commercialisation. Ford is also putting its hopes on internal combustion engines fuelled with hydrogen. By contrast, Honda, Toyota, General Motors and maybe DaimlerChrysler are putting their money into fuel cell driven hydrogen cars. In 1996 the world's first hydrogen fuelled bus in regular service with an internal combustion engine started service in Erlangen and later on in Munich, Germany. In 1999 the first public hydrogen fuelling station opened at the Munich airport. At the end of 2002 the following hydrogen fuelling stations were in service or under construction:
A list of hydrogen refuelling stations for road vehicles can be found at www.h2cars.de.
Several companies have put forward introduction strategies for hydrogen vehicles. In Germany, a government-backed industrial consortium (TES - transport energy strategy) composed of car manufacturers and fuel suppliers has sketched a road map for hydrogen introduction. It is anticipated that about 15-20 percent of all filling stations (or app. 2000 filling stations) must offer hydrogen before it will be accepted by the public. The road map assumes that before 2005/2007 only small car fleets operating around individual filling stations will be built to test public acceptance and to prove the every day usage of hydrogen cars. The erection of the network of refuelling stations will require about five years' planning and construction time between 2005 and 2010. At the end of this period, the mass production of hydrogen fuel cell cars might start, delivering about 100,000 vehicles in 2010.
Only Japan and the United States of America seem to have a systematic, government supported introduction strategy for developing a hydrogen infrastructure for vehicles. The Japanese initiative has already had several years of continued strategic and financial support and at the end of January 2003, the U.S. president announced a 1.2 billion dollar introduction strategy for hydrogen infrastructure in the US, covering a five-year period.
In Europe, although hydrogen projects have been running for many years now, they are not yet strategically oriented and continuous. The availability of vehicles which consume hydrogen and of an infrastructure with refuelling stations for supplying hydrogen has to be co-ordinated since both are cost-intensive to introduce. Late in 2002, the first initiative at EU-level was launched with the aim of establishing an introduction plan. However, the composition of the steering committee makes some observers think that this initiative is not directed towards hydrogen production from renewable energies but to support hydrogen from nuclear electricity. However, in view of the long lead times and the large financial investment required, I do not think that a hydrogen strategy based on new nuclear power stations could have any mid- to long term future.
There are plans within the European CUTE (Clean urban transport in Europe) project and the CITYCELL project, both funded by the European Commission, to manufacture fuel cell driven buses to demonstrate and test of technology and public acceptance. Selected European cities will be supplied with three fuel cell buses each and hydrogen filling stations with hydrogen from various sources. There is also the ECTOS-project to convert Iceland's energy economy completely to hydrogen by the year 2030. The first step is to demonstrate buses in Reykjavik. This will be followed by more buses, then private cars and, finally, converting Iceland's fishing fleet completely to hydrogen. Most of the hydrogen will be generated from electricity, while the electricity itself will be produced from Iceland's vast geothermal and hydro resources.
At present, about 1.2 million passenger cars and close to 200,000 trucks use Ireland's roads. The total arable area is 1 million hectare, pasture is 3.3 million hectare and the forested area 0.6 million hectare. The total population is about 3.7 million inhabitants. About 55 percent of all oil consumed in Ireland is used by the transport sector. Road traffic alone consumes about 32 TWh of oil (this corresponds to about 2.76 million tons).
A rough calculation indicates that at least 300 fuelling stations should offer hydrogen to achieve public acceptance of the fuel. This corresponds to 10 percent of all fuelling stations countrywide. If this hydrogen were to be entirely supplied by wind power produced electricity, the total system cost would be of the order of 50 billion Euros or, spread over 30 years, about 2 billion Euro per year. In total about 20 GW offshore wind converters are needed for the power production.
If this hydrogen was completely supplied from biomass via gasification, the total system cost would be in the order of 20 billion Euros, or spread over 20 years, about 1 billion Euro per year. Annually, about 13 million tons of dry biomass would be needed for hydrogen production, or a cultivated area of about 0.7 million hectare. Costs would be similar to those at present but with the difference that a large fraction of the money is now transferred to foreign countries, while domestic fuel production in the countryside would channel the money instead to a domestic labour force.
These very rough figures are intended to give the order of magnitude of the effort to convert the transport totally to hydrogen. In practice, however, a variety of hydrogen sources would be used.
R. Wurster, W. Zittel: Hydrogen energy, in "Energy Technologies to Reduce CO2 Emissions in Europe: Prospects, Competition, Synergy". Conference Proceedings, Petten Netherlands, 11-12 April 1994, International Energy Agency, OECD, Paris, 1994, pp 115-158
L-B-Systemtechnik: General Motors Well-to-Wheel Analysis of Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Advanced
Fuel/Vehicle Systems - A European Study, download at www.lbst.de/gm-wtw, 27 September 2002
Continue to Panel 1 of section 2: Car makers announce liquid hydrogen refueling programme