Risk-Resilience Network Documents

The Risk/Resilience Network is an initiative which was established in order to understand energy induced systemic risk, the scope for risk management, and general and emergency planning.

Anger & Complicity in a Time of Limits

In the second part of his interview with Alexander Ac, David Korowicz argues that the large-scale predicament and the emergent socio-economic stresses that we are beginning to experience has very little to with fraud, corruption and the greed of a tiny few. He believes it has a lot to do with our human civilization running into limits.

Catastrophic Shocks in Complex Socio-Economic Systems—a pandemic perspective

This paper by David Korowicz provides an overview of the effect of a major pandemic on the operation of complex socio-economic systems using some simple models. It discusses the links between initial pandemic absenteeism and supply-chain contagion, and the evolution and rate of shock propagation. It discusses systemic collapse and the difficulties of re-booting socio-economic systems.

Trade Off: Financial system supply-chain cross contagion – a study in global systemic collapse

This new study by David Korowicz explores the implications of a major financial crisis for the supply-chains that feed us, keep production running and maintain our critical infrastructure. He uses a scenario involving the collapse of the Eurozone to show that increasing socio-economic complexity could rapidly spread irretrievable supply-chain failure across the world.

Tipping Point: Near-Term Systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production – An Outline Review

The report Tipping Point: Near-Term Systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production, by David Korowicz of Feasta and the Risk/Resilience Network, is now available for download. The report argues that the defining dynamic of our civilisation is the withdrawal of energy from a complex and integrated system adapted only to growing. A managed “de-growth” is impossible; what is required is rapid emergency planning coupled with a plan for longer-term adaptation. …